Mohr, S. & Ward, J. 2014, 'Helium Production and Possible Projection', Minerals, vol. 4, no. 1, pp. 130-144.
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Mohr, S., Giurco, D., Yellishetty, M., Ward, J. & Mudd, G. 2014, 'Projection of Iron Ore Production', Natural Resources Research.
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A comprehensive country-by-country projection of world iron ore production is presented along with alternative scenarios and a sensitivity analysis. The supply-driven modelling approach follows Mohr (Projection of world fossil fuel production with supply and demand interactions, PhD Thesis, http://www.theoildrum.com/node/6782, 2010) using an ultimately recoverable resource of 346 Gt of iron ore. Production is estimated to have a choppy plateau starting in 2017 until 2050 after which production rapidly declines. The undulating plateau is due to Chinese iron ore production peaking earlier followed by Australia and Brazil in turn. Alternative scenarios indicate that the model is sensitive to increases in Australian and Brazilian resources, and that African iron ore production can shift the peak date only if the African Ultimately Recoverable Resources (URR) is 5 times larger than the estimate used. Changes to the demand for iron ore driven by substitution or recycling are not modelled. The relatively near-term peak in iron ore supply is likely to create a global challenge to manufacturing and construction and ultimately the world economy.
Yellishetty, M., Mudd, G.M., Giurco, D., Mason, L. & Mohr, S. 2013, 'Iron ore in Australia - Too much or too hard?', AusIMM Bulletin, no. 3.
Mohr, S.H. & Evans, G. 2013, 'Projections of future Phosphorus production (paper)', Philica: where ideas are free, vol. Article380.
Mason, L., Mohr, S., Zeibots, M. & Giurco, D. 2011, 'Limits to cheap oil - Impact on mining', AusIMM Bulletin, no. 4, pp. 40-42.
The price of oil also affects the demand for metals and minerals and hence the ability of mining companies to sell resources at a profit. The mining sector is a major consumer of oil products and hence the cost of producing metals and minerals is sensitive to oil prices. Specifically, oil based diesel is mixed with ammonium nitrate as the explosives commonly used in the mining industry, diesel trucks, and shovels are used to collect the ore and transport the ore to the primary processing facilities typically on the mine site. Currently, Australia imports from Malaysia and Vietnam (DRET 2010), however both of these countries reached peak oil production in 2004 and are now declining. The world is dependent on a small number of countries to ensure world oil production is adequate and less is being traded on the open market.
Fyfe, J., McKibbin, J.L., Mohr, S., Madden, B., Turner, A. & Ege, C. 2015, Evaluation of the Environmental Effects of the WELS Scheme, pp. 1-103, Sydney, Australia.
The Institute for Sustainable Futures (ISF) at the University of Technology Sydney, undertook a review of the environmental effects of the Water Efficiency Labelling and Standards (WELS) Scheme on behalf of the Australian Government Department of the Environment.
The review analysed several facets of the Scheme, including:
* the interactions between WELS and other urban water policies
* changes in the products registered and sold since the commencement of WELS
* changes in water consumption since the commencement of WELS
* energy, greenhouse and household bill impacts associated with reduced water consumption
Ross, K.E., Delaney, C.C., Mohr, S.H. & Mitchell, C.A. Institute for Sustainable Futures, UTS 2014, End of project evaluation: Gunbalanya Water Initiative, pp. 1-97, Sydney, Australia.
This report presents an analysis of water use in Gunbalanya and an independent evaluation of the `Gunbalanya Water Initiative (the Initiative), a water demand management program led by Power and Water Corporation (PWC) in 2013. The Initiative was implemented in the Gunbalanya community (Oenpelli) in western Arnhemland, Northern Territory, in response to increasing water scarcity and rising demand from the water system. The community experiences water shortages at the end of most dry seasons (October to December) as the aquifer is dependent on seasonal recharge and unique aquifer characteristics prohibit higher extraction rates. Increasing water demand incurs higher production costs. Where that water continues to the sewer, it can also overload sewage treatment systems. These drivers triggered an analysis of the sources of demand (water use, leaks, etc) to identify and test the local efficacy of targeted demand reduction measures. Implementation of the Initiative was from October 2012 to November 2013 through a partnership between local and Territory governments and the Gunbalanya community. The partners included Power and Water Corporation, the NT Department of Housing, the West Arnhem Regional Council (WARC), and the NT Department of Community Services. In - kind contributions from all partners supplemented grant funding of $298,000 from the Australian Government to deliver the program. The focus of the Initiative was to engage Indigenous public housing tenants and community stakeholders in a water efficiency program. Smart meter data interpretation played a significant role in the Initiatives design, monitoring and evaluation. A mixture of qualitative and quantitative evaluation techniques were used.
Nickless, E., Bloodworth, A., Meinert, L., Giurco, D., Mohr, S. & Littleboy, A. International Union of Geological Sciences 2014, Resourcing Future Generations White Paper: Mineral Resources and Future Supply, pp. i-38, London.
Mohr, S.H., Mudd, G.M., Mason, L.M. & Giurco, D. Institute for Sustainable Futures, UTS and the Department of Civil Engineering, Monash University 2013, Lithium: Production trends, sustainability issues and future prospects, pp. 1-59, Sydney.
White, S., Herriman, J., Giurco, D., Cordell, D.J., Gero, A., Mason, L.M., May, D., Mohr, S.H. & Moore, D.D. Institute for Sustainable Futures, UTS 2012, Landfill Futures: Synthesis report, pp. 1-6, Sydney, Australia.
Nguyen, M., Milne, G.R., Rickwood, P., Mohr, S.H. & Turner, A.J. Institute for Sustainable Futures, UTS 2012, Analysis of data from the ClimateSmart Home Service, Sydney, Australia.
Cordell, D.J., Jackson, M.L., Boronyak, L.J., Cooper, C., Mohr, S.H., Moore, D.D. & White, S. Australian Sustainable Phosphorus Futures and Institute for Sustainable Futures 2012, Phase 1: Analysis of phosphorus flows through the Australian food production and consumption system, pp. 1-57, Sydney, Australia.